6-3.

Overview

IINO san
IINO san
So, in the previous curriculum, we learned about foreign exchange risk, remember?
Today, we’ll discuss how to avoid that kind of risk.
Why don’t we use a forward contract?
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IINO san
IINO san
You know?
There are other options you can use.
Really?
I’d like you to tell me.
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Learning Points

  • Exchange Risk Mitigation with Banking Solutions
  • Non-Banking Solution 
  • Pros and Cons

Banking Solutions

In transactions conducted in foreign currencies, there are potential risks for losses due to fluctuations in exchange rates.

In international trade, the time gap between contract conclusion and payment/collection of funds creates significant exchange risk. In risk hedging facilitated through banks, there are the following methods:

  • Forward Contract
  • Currency Option
IINO san
IINO san
To avoid exchange rate risk, the approach may vary depending on whether you involve a bank or not.

(1) Forward Contract

A forward contract, also known as a forward foreign exchange contract, is an agreement to lock in and set a predetermined exchange rate for a future currency transaction.

The reservation methods are divided into the two types below, depending on the delivery timing.

KEY POINT
・Fixed date delivery: Reserving the rate for a specific future date
・Optional delivery: Reserving a rate for a certain period and executing it during that period.
IINO san
IINO san
The Optional Delivery has options to freely execute within a monthspecify a particular month, or choose a fixed period for contract execution.

Forward contracts require credit examination before reservation. Once made, changes or cancellations are generally not allowed except in unavoidable circumstances.

(2) Currency Option

A currency option is a financial contract that gives the exporter or importer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a foreign currency at a fixed exchange rate within a specified period.

It provides flexibility for managing risks related to currency exchange rates.

There are two main types:

  • Call Option: Gives the right to buy at the strike price (rate)
  • Put Option: Gives the right to sell at the strike price (rate)

Unlike a forward contract, the key feature is that the holder can choose whether to exercise the option or not.

Case Study

IINO san
IINO san
Let’s say we’re in a situation where someone has made an agreement to buy or sell something using US dollars.

Transaction Flow:

1. The Japanese importer procures the right to buy dollars at 100 yen per dollar from a bank.
2. When the payment period comes, the importer decides whether to:

・Exercise the right or
・Abandon the right

IINO san
IINO san
You can choose it!
This is called the “Yen Put, Dollar Call Option. (selling yen to buy dollars). “

Case Study – How to Use:

When exercising the right is preferable:

In the case of the exchange rate being 1 dollar = 110 yen. Exercising the option to pay at 1 dollar = 100 yen would be cheaper for the importer.

When abandoning the right is preferable:

In the case of the exchange rate being 1 dollar = 90 yen. Abandoning the currency option is cheaper for the importer.

Seems a perfect system, huh?
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IINO san
IINO san
Yeah, but to use currency options, you need to pay a fee called a premium. The premium is similar to a commission, and the bank determines it by considering various factors.

Non-Banking Solutions

There are also methods without involving banks:

  • Local Currency Transaction
  • Leads and Lags
  • Currency Matching
  • Netting

(1) Local Currency Transaction

This is a method of conducting transactions using your currency.

IINO san
IINO san
If you conduct transactions in the domestic currency, you will not be affected by exchange rate fluctuations.

However, the counterparty will bear the exchange rate risk. Therefore, it is necessary to negotiate and reach an agreement with the partner.

(2) Leads and Lags

This is a method where exporters or importers intentionally adjust the timing of payments or receipts based on anticipated movements in the exchange rate.

IINO san
IINO san
Let me give you an example.
Imagine a Japanese importer has upcoming payments in dollars, and they think that the exchange rate might move unfavorably soon.
Okay…then?
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IINO san
IINO san
To avoid any risk, they can convert their yen to dollars early to settle the payment. This way, they can avoid potential losses due to unfavorable exchange rates.

However, as the movement of exchange rates is uncertain, this method is not foolproof. Additionally, since the adjustment of settlement timing is based on one’s considerations, it requires discussions with the trading partner.

(3) Currency Matching

Currency matching is a strategy where a company retains foreign currency it receives from exports and uses it to settle payments for imports.

The point is the company does not convert it into the local currency. This method helps avoid exchange rate fluctuations and allows for smoother international transactions.

IINO san
IINO san
Personally, I think this method is quite common.
Even our company holds currencies in yen, dollars, and Thai baht.

(4) Netting

Netting is a method of offsetting receivables and payables with the same trading partner. Reducing the actual transaction amounts makes it possible to minimize the impact of exchange rate risks.

IINO san
IINO san
Let me give you an example to make it clearer.
Imagine you buy $200 worth of goods from a supplier, and at the same time, you sell $100 worth of goods to the same supplier.

Okay, the transaction is made with the same supplier!
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IINO san
IINO san
In this case, you can net the two transactions, which means that you only have to pay the difference of $100 instead of the full $200.

KEY POINT
While netting still has exchange risks, reducing the actual transaction amounts can minimize the impact of exchange rate fluctuations.

IINO san
IINO san
Additionally, there are benefits in terms of lowering transaction fees and exchange costs.

Pros and Cons

The choice of which method to use should be made by considering the merits and demerits. Below are the pros and cons of using a bank.

Pros

  • Incurs commission fees
  • Reliable means to avoid risk

Cons

  • Need to negotiate based on a trusting relationship with a business partner
  • It may not be foolproof and should be carefully considered

Summary

There are banking solutions to avoid exchange risk when dealing with foreign currency, such as a forward contract or a currency option.

In addition to banking methods, there are non-banking methods such as local currency transactions, Leads and Lags, currency matching, netting, etc. It is important to choose the appropriate way depending on the type of transaction to ensure your needs are met.

Forward Contract is not the only option.
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IINO san
IINO san
You can choose the best method depending on the case!

Enhanced Learning with Videos

Test Yourself

Reinforce your understanding of this topic by working through the exercises. Attempting the exercises without referring to the material as much as possible is advisable.

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IINO san
The act of “remembering” helps it sink in your memory.